SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Shandong Taishan | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shenzhen | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Wuhan | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shenzhen |
30.83% ( 0.25) | 26.2% ( 0.14) | 42.97% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.84% ( -0.48) | 52.16% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% ( -0.42) | 73.87% ( 0.41) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( -0.07) | 31.22% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.43% ( -0.08) | 67.57% ( 0.08) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( -0.41) | 24.09% ( 0.4) |
