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Jul 11, 2022 at 12.30pm UK at Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre
Shenzhen
2 - 1
Beijing Guoan
Lin (57'), Mincheng (85')
Yuanyi (30'), Shinar (31'), Yongpo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wang (28')
Memisevic (40'), Yang (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cangzhou 1-2 Shenzhen
Thursday, July 7 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Shenzhen 1-2 Beijing Guoan

While Shenzhen will be looking to build on their victory over Cangzhou Mighty Lions, next up is a rampant Beijing Guoan side who are unbeaten since the league's opening weekend. The Imperial Guards are unbeaten in nine straight games against the hosts and we are backing them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.

Result
ShenzhenDrawBeijing Guoan
39.57% (0.721 0.72) 26.36% (-0.137 -0.14) 34.07% (-0.581 -0.58)
Both teams to score 52.76% (0.348 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07% (0.49299999999999 0.49)51.93% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.425 0.43)73.67% (-0.423 -0.42)
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (0.61999999999999 0.62)25.74% (-0.618 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (0.835 0.84)60.68% (-0.832 -0.83)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (-0.124 -0.12)28.95% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (-0.154 -0.15)64.83% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Shenzhen 39.57%
    Beijing Guoan 34.07%
    Draw 26.35%
ShenzhenDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.86% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cangzhou 1-2 Shenzhen
Thursday, July 7 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 1-0 Shenzhen
Sunday, July 3 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shenzhen 2-3 Tianjin Jinmen
Wednesday, June 29 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 Shenzhen
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 4-1 Shenzhen
Tuesday, June 21 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shenzhen 1-0 Cangzhou
Friday, June 17 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-0 Meizhou Hakka
Thursday, July 7 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 1-2 Beijing Guoan
Sunday, July 3 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 1-1 Beijing Guoan
Saturday, June 25 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 4-1 Shenzhen
Tuesday, June 21 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 2-2 Beijing Guoan
Friday, June 17 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
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