Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Hebei win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Port in this match.
