MX23RW : Thursday, July 7 20:03:03
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Thursday, July 7
Nov 6, 2020 at 7.30am UK at Kunshan Sports Center Stadium
Sh. Shenhua
4 - 1
Hebei
Bolanos (1'), Ximing (23' og.), Xinli (53'), Martinez (76' pen.)
Sun (54'), N'Doumbou (57'), Zhu (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Goulart (4')
Memisevic (37'), Hongbo (68')
Memisevic (82')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Seventh-Place Playoffs clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Hebei.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Hebei China Fortune win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawHebei
41.3%25.32%33.37%
Both teams to score 56.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37%47.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17%69.83%
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07%22.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3%56.69%
Hebei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71%27.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27%62.73%
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Shenhua 41.3%
    Hebei 33.37%
    Draw 25.31%
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawHebei
1-0 @ 9.22%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.3%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.37%

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