Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
