MX23RW : Saturday, March 4 20:57:29
SM
Saturday, March 4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
56.54%26.04%17.42%
Both teams to score 39.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.11%61.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.35%81.65%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5%55.5%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.62%49.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.78%84.22%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.52%
    Luton Town 17.42%
    Draw 26.03%
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 16.47%
2-0 @ 12.42%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 4.41%
4-0 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.66%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 56.52%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 7.71%
1-2 @ 4.1%
0-2 @ 2.72%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 17.42%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley352211268284077
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd34197855312464
3Middlesbrough351861161402160
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn35184133938158
5Luton TownLuton35151284334957
6Norwich CityNorwich351671251391255
7Millwall35159114538754
8Coventry CityCoventry351410114134752
9Watford351312104138351
10Sunderland351310125043749
11West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom34139124438648
12Preston North EndPreston351211123038-847
13Hull City35129144048-845
14Bristol City341111124343044
15Reading34135163853-1544
16Stoke CityStoke35127164442243
17Swansea CitySwansea351110144752-543
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham35913134047-740
19Birmingham CityBirmingham35109163947-839
20Queens Park RangersQPR35109163652-1639
21Cardiff CityCardiff35108172738-1138
22Blackpool35711173351-1832
23Wigan AthleticWigan34711163153-2232
24Huddersfield TownHuddersfield3487193051-2131
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