Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Leicester City |
27.23% ( 0.06) | 25.07% ( 0.05) | 47.7% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.58% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( -0.17) | 49.35% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( -0.15) | 71.4% ( 0.15) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% ( -0.04) | 32.43% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% ( -0.05) | 68.94% ( 0.05) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.28% ( -0.12) | 20.71% ( 0.11) |