MX23RW : Friday, December 30 13:27:46
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May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK at Carrow Road
Norwich
4 - 1
Reading
Dowell (30', 64'), Quintilla (78'), Pukki (85')
Aarons (17'), Skipp (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laurent (12')
Richards (25'), Semedo (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawReading
51.3%25.37%23.33%
Both teams to score 48.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42%53.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91%75.09%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1%20.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.38%53.63%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94%38.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18%74.83%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 51.29%
    Reading 23.33%
    Draw 25.37%
Norwich CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.45%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.33%

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