SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Rotherham United |
44.22% ( 0.33) | 27.42% ( -0.07) | 28.36% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 47.33% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.18% ( 0.15) | 57.82% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.45% ( 0.12) | 78.54% ( -0.12) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( 0.24) | 26% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.97% ( 0.32) | 61.02% ( -0.32) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( -0.12) | 36.04% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.18% ( -0.12) | 72.82% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 28.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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