Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
