Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.