Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Maribor |
34.88% ( -0.1) | 27.2% ( 1.36) | 37.91% ( -1.25) |
Both teams to score 50.19% ( -4.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.76% ( -5.61) | 55.24% ( 5.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.53% ( -4.82) | 76.47% ( 4.82) |
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( -2.8) | 30.07% ( 2.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% ( -3.49) | 66.2% ( 3.5) |
Maribor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( -3.31) | 28.22% ( 3.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( -4.4) | 63.92% ( 4.4) |
Score Analysis |
Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Maribor |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 1.36) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.44) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.87% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.64) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 1.69) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.64) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 1.29) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.5) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.29) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 58 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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