Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0-2 Maribor - Champions League First Qualifying Round - Football

Finding the right defensive formula at home has not been an issue for Shakhtyor Soligorsk over the past few weeks, and advancing in the Champions League would at least make up for their early setbacks in defending their Belarusian title. One can expect Tashuev's men to once again frustrate their more revered visitors, who may have to rely on penalties to avoid being knocked out in the first round for the first time ever. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.

Result
Shakhtyor Soligorsk	Draw	Maribor
34.52% ( 0.08)	26.67% ( 0.02)	38.8% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.84% (

-0.07)

53.16% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.27% (

-0.06)

74.73% (

0.07)

Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

0.01)

29.27% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77% (

0.02)

65.23% (

-0.01)

Maribor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.26% (

-0.09)

26.73% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

-0.11)

62% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Shakhtyor Soligorsk 34.52%

Maribor 38.8%

Draw 26.67%

Shakhtyor Soligorsk	Draw	Maribor
1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.52%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.8%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City Man City	35	27	4	4	92	31	61	85
2	Arsenal	36	25	6	5	83	42	41	81
3	Newcastle United Newcastle	35	18	12	5	63	31	32	66
4	Manchester United Man Utd	35	20	6	9	51	41	10	66
5	Liverpool	36	19	8	9	70	42	28	65
6	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	34	17	7	10	66	45	21	58
7	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	36	17	6	13	65	59	6	57
8	Aston Villa	36	17	6	13	48	44	4	57
9	Brentford	36	13	14	9	54	45	9	53
10	Fulham	36	15	6	15	52	49	3	51
11	Chelsea	35	11	10	14	36	41	-5	43
12	Crystal Palace	36	11	10	15	37	46	-9	43
13	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	36	11	7	18	30	52	-22	40
14	Bournemouth	36	11	6	19	37	69	-32	39
15	West Ham United West Ham	36	10	7	19	38	52	-14	37
16	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	36	8	10	18	36	67	-31	34
17	Everton	36	7	11	18	32	56	-24	32
18	Leeds United Leeds	36	7	10	19	46	71	-25	31
19	Leicester City Leicester	36	8	6	22	49	67	-18	30
R	Southampton	36	6	6	24	31	66	-35	24

Form, Standings, Stats