Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 13.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
