Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
