SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Sevilla |
38.09% ( 0.36) | 29.04% ( 0.15) | 32.86% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 44.51% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.84% ( -0.58) | 62.15% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.15% ( -0.43) | 81.85% ( 0.43) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( -0.08) | 31.53% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.07% ( -0.09) | 67.93% ( 0.09) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( -0.67) | 34.99% ( 0.67) |
