SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | VfL Bochum | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.55%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 7.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 1-3 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Bayern Munich |
7.17% ( 0.32) | 11.28% ( 0.34) | 81.55% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0.55) | 22.34% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.64% ( -0.76) | 41.36% ( 0.76) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.69% ( 0.3) | 40.31% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.07% ( 0.27) | 76.93% ( -0.27) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.9% ( -0.19) | 4.1% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.8% ( -0.61) | 17.19% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.44% Total : 7.17% | 1-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 11.28% | 0-3 @ 8.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 8.16% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 7.17% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 6.51% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.13)0-5 @ 4.58% ( -0.16)1-5 @ 4.16% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 2.44% ( -0.12)1-6 @ 2.22% ( -0.09)2-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)0-7 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)1-7 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)2-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.29% Total : 81.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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