Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
