Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
