Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
