SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Fluminense | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | America Mineiro | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Ceara | 10 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 11.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.37%) and 3-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | America Mineiro |
68.46% ( -0.23) | 20.31% ( 0.38) | 11.22% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 40.08% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.4% ( -1.8) | 52.61% ( 1.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.74% ( -1.57) | 74.26% ( 1.57) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.6% ( -0.64) | 14.4% ( 0.64) |
