Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Internacional in this match.
