Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
