Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
