Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Cuiaba.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.