Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
