MX23RW : Saturday, October 1 15:27:42
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Sep 18, 2021 at 10.45pm UK at Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR
2 - 1
Juventude
Bissoli (62' pen.), Kayzer (71')
Nicolas (45+4'), Nikao (60'), Erick (64'), Bissoli (79'), Ivaldo (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bueno (56' pen.)
Friedrich (59')
Forster (22')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawJuventude
58.85%24.77%16.37%
Both teams to score 40.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.81%59.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.38%79.61%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91%20.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67%52.33%
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.87%49.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.95%84.04%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 58.85%
    Juventude 16.37%
    Draw 24.76%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 15.83%
2-0 @ 12.71%
2-1 @ 9.04%
3-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 4.84%
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 7.01%
1-2 @ 4%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 16.37%

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