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AM
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 25, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
I(
America Mineiro
1 - 2
Internacional
Juninho (19')
Pasinato (78'), Avelar (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dias (63'), Alemao (85')
Hernandez (15')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: America Mineiro 1-2 Internacional

As their defensive woes show no sign of ending - and they have conceded goals at a rate of two per game on home soil - America are set to suffer another loss this weekend. Inter have gone unbeaten through their last seven matches in all competitions, so they can record a third straight win against one of Serie A's strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Internacional in this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawInternacional
38.92% (0.052 0.05) 28.89% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 32.19% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 44.8% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.26% (0.165 0.16)61.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.45% (0.121 0.12)81.54% (-0.123 -0.12)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (0.114 0.11)30.82% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9% (0.135 0.13)67.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.087999999999994 0.09)35.24% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28% (0.091999999999999 0.09)72% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 38.91%
    Internacional 32.18%
    Draw 28.89%
America MineiroDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 12.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 38.91%
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 11.32% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 32.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gremio 3-1 America Mineiro
Thursday, June 22 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 11 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-0 Millonarios
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-0 Corinthians
Saturday, June 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 America Mineiro (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 America Mineiro
Sunday, May 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Internacional
Friday, June 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Vasco
Sunday, June 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Internacional
Wednesday, June 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Internacional
Sunday, June 4 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 America Mineiro (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, May 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo1210022071330
2Gremio127232217523
3FlamengoFlamengo127142417722
4PalmeirasPalmeiras1264222101222
5Fluminense126331913621
6InternacionalInternacional126241314-120
7BragantinoBragantino125522114720
8FortalezaFortaleza12552159620
9Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR126151615119
10Atletico Mineiro125431611519
11Sao Paulo125341713418
12Cruzeiro125251511417
13SantosSantos123451113-213
14Bahia123361318-512
15Corinthians123361116-512
16Cuiaba12336916-712
17GoiasGoias123271020-1011
18Vasco da GamaVasco122371120-99
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro122281327-148
20Coritiba12048926-174
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