SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Westerlo |
39.18% ( 0.64) | 25.99% ( -0.09) | 34.83% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 54.11% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( 0.29) | 50.25% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( 0.26) | 72.21% ( -0.26) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.48) | 25.19% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.08% ( 0.66) | 59.91% ( -0.66) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( -0.2) | 27.67% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.78% ( -0.25) | 63.22% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Westerlo |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 71 | 31 | 40 | 71 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 69 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 63 |
| 4 | GentGent | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 55 |
| 5 | Club BruggeBrugge | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 55 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 49 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 | CharleroiCharleroi | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 47 |
| 9 | Anderlecht | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 46 |
| 10 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Leuven | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 42 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 39 | 63 | -24 | 28 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 74 | -31 | 24 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 24 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 32 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 19 |
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