SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Gent |
28.35% ( 0.1) | 24.05% ( 0.08) | 47.61% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.81% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( -0.28) | 44.17% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( -0.27) | 66.55% ( 0.27) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( -0.07) | 28.9% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.22% ( -0.09) | 64.77% ( 0.09) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( -0.18) | 18.69% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.96% ( -0.3) | 50.03% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 28.35% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.37% Total : 47.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 72 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 59 |
| 5 | GentGent | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | Leuven | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 48 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 28 |
| R | Zulte WaregemZulte | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 27 |
| R | KV OostendeOostende | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 76 | -39 | 27 |
| R | RFC Seraing | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 68 | -40 | 20 |
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