Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.