Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KV Oostende win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a KV Oostende win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
