Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
