Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 75.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 9.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
