Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 46.96%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 1-0 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
