SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 70.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Smorgon |
| 70.94% | 17.54% | 11.52% |
| Both teams to score 49.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
