Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Gomel and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gomel 1-2 Aris
Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Gomel | 15 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Slutsk | 16 | -8 | 18 |
Last Game: BATE 1-2 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Friday, July 15 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Friday, July 15 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Belshina | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 13 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | Vitebsk | 16 | -13 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
45.76% ( -0.08) | 27.45% ( 0.07) | 26.78% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.23% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
