Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.
