SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Talleres |
48.29% ( -0.08) | 27.57% ( 0.06) | 24.15% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.85% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.31% ( -0.18) | 60.69% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( -0.14) | 80.76% ( 0.14) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( -0.12) | 25.29% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.94% ( -0.16) | 60.06% ( 0.16) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% ( -0.09) | 41.3% ( 0.09) |
