SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Banfield |
52.85% ( 0.29) | 26.7% ( -0.11) | 20.45% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.08% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.15% ( 0.2) | 60.85% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.12% ( 0.15) | 80.88% ( -0.15) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.21) | 23.26% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.81% ( 0.31) | 57.19% ( -0.31) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.83% ( -0.08) | 45.16% ( 0.08) |
