SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
40.17% ( 0.67) | 27.88% ( -0.17) | 31.95% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 47.57% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( 0.51) | 58.26% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( 0.4) | 78.89% ( -0.4) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( 0.63) | 28.38% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.87% ( 0.79) | 64.12% ( -0.79) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.42% ( -0.09) | 33.58% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.77% ( -0.09) | 70.22% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.75% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | BelgranoBelgrano | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 | Rosario CentralRosario | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | TalleresTalleres | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | LanusLanus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing ClubRacing | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
| 11 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | Platense | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 | TigreTigre | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
| 16 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| 17 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 18 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 14 |
| 19 | HuracanHuracan | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| 20 | Barracas Central | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
| 21 | Sarmiento | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 22 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 11 |
| 23 | ColonColon | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 24 | IndependienteIndependiente | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 25 | BanfieldBanfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 10 |
| 26 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 9 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 8 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
