SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | River Plate |
28.84% ( -0.02) | 26.43% ( -0.02) | 44.73% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.07% ( 0.09) | 53.93% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.62% ( 0.07) | 75.38% ( -0.07) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( 0.03) | 33.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.75% ( 0.03) | 70.24% ( -0.03) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( 0.06) | 24.01% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.74% ( 0.08) | 58.26% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 28.84% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 44.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | TalleresTalleres | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | LanusLanus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Racing ClubRacing | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Rosario CentralRosario | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Platense | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 | BelgranoBelgrano | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 14 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 15 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 16 | Instituto | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | HuracanHuracan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| 19 | Sarmiento | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 20 | TigreTigre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 22 | BanfieldBanfield | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 23 | IndependienteIndependiente | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 |
| 24 | Barracas Central | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 9 |
| 25 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 26 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 27 | UnionUnion | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 7 |
| 28 | ColonColon | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 |
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