Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Platense had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
