Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Platense had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
