Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
