SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Boca Juniors |
62.16% ( -2.34) | 22.04% ( 0.85) | 15.8% ( 1.49) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.85% ( -0.71) | 50.14% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.89% ( -0.63) | 72.11% ( 0.64) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% ( -0.98) | 15.6% ( 0.99) |
