SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Central Cordoba win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Boca Juniors |
27.96% ( -0.34) | 27.1% ( 0) | 44.94% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 47.99% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.14% ( -0.18) | 56.85% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.22% ( -0.14) | 77.78% ( 0.14) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( -0.37) | 35.84% ( 0.36) |
