Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
Result | ||
Boca Juniors | Draw | Aldosivi |
72.71% ( -0.12) | 17.04% ( 0.1) | 10.26% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.98% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.68% ( -0.4) | 41.32% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.28% ( -0.4) | 63.72% ( 0.4) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.04% ( -0.13) | 9.96% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.08% ( -0.31) | 32.92% ( 0.31) |
Aldosivi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.18% ( -0.22) | 47.82% ( 0.22) |