MX23RW : Sunday, August 7 20:07:21
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Jul 26, 2020 at 4.30pm UK at Studenternas IP
Sirius
2 - 5
Malmo
Saeid (18' pen.), Vecchia (56')
Hellborg (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Andersson (51' og.), Toivonen (65'), Kiese Thelin (85'), Inge Berget (90'), Rieks (90+4')
Christiansen (58')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Sirius and Malmo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
SiriusDrawMalmo
15.07%19.74%65.19%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33%41.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.92%64.07%
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.71%40.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09%76.91%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.99%12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.54%37.45%
Score Analysis
    Sirius 15.07%
    Malmo 65.18%
    Draw 19.74%
SiriusDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 4.4%
2-1 @ 4.24%
2-0 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.36%
3-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 15.07%
1-1 @ 9.32%
0-0 @ 4.84%
2-2 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.74%
0-2 @ 10.86%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-3 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 6.98%
0-4 @ 4.07%
1-4 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-5 @ 1.73%
2-4 @ 1.68%
1-5 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 65.18%

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Swedish Allsvenskan Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Djurgardens IFDjurgarden17104335112434
2HammarbyHammarby17103434132133
3HackenHacken1695237251232
4AIK FotbollAIK179442420431
5MalmoMalmo179352315830
6IFK GoteborgGoteborg168352015527
7KalmarKalmar178361914527
8Mjallby AIF177641815327
9SiriusSirius177372025-524
10ElfsborgElfsborg175753124722
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping175481821-319
12Varbergs BoISVarbergs165381426-1218
13Varnamo174581626-1017
14Degerfors1732121334-2111
15Helsingborg1624101223-1110
16SundsvallSundsvall1731131643-2710
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