Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.